Wednesday, December 28, 2011

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Investing Into The Predictable Future - China, Nanotechnology, Oil, Food And Gold

The concept of ?buy and hold,? that cherished adage that typifies the long-term investor?s approach to trading the stock market, may have come and gone according to the talking heads on TV. It?s true that increased volatility with the advent of the internet has allowed your Average Joe to become an equity holder in companies they often know too little about. And for retail investors, increased volatility likely spells havoc on the portfolios for a population that notoriously sells low and buys high despite having the knowledge of doing otherwise. Even formulated programs and high-frequency trading systems have likely moved our markets towards wider swings of the sentiment pendulum. But has the ?buy and hold? principle truly become moot?

With increased volatility, investors looking to invest beyond the uncertainty of the day-to-day, need only to choose investments that can embrace the larger promise of a progressive future. Predictability, after all, is an element that pushes the odds of success towards the one who acts upon it. Investors looking to park money in a account rather than actively trading should invest in economic trends that will undeniably grow as the world continues to spin.

Here?s a very short list of a few global trends that are likely to take place:

  • China?s economy will continue to grow much faster than most of the developed right.
  • Nanotechnology will be incorporated more into the economy as technology evolves.
  • Oil prices will continue to rise as developing nations evolve into heavy oil consumers.
  • Agriculture will become more important in light of growing populations, meat-centric diets, and the need for greater crop yields.
  • Gold will continue to rise as governments around the world dilute their money supplies in order to sustain economic growth.

In order to capitalize on these trends, it?s ideal not to pick and choose individual winners that could be subjected to external factors that destroy your investment. The fund-approach, whether it be by ETF or some general investment that encompasses a collective stance to the industry, is the ideal means to invest into a long-term trend. Here are a few suggestions to consider in light of the aforementioned trends:

  • The iShares FTSE China 25 Index Fund (FXI) is an ETF that cover 25 of the largest and more liquid Chinese companies that are publicly traded. Though a bit disproportionately weighted on financials, FXI should adequately capture the trend of China?s growth.
  • Harris & Harris Group (TINY) is a venture capitalist firm that specializes in private equity investments in small-tech companies. With a maturing portfolio that is beginning to show promise, TINY might serve as one of the best diversified plays in the field of nanotechnology that?s trading on the market today.
  • The Market Vectors Oil Services ETF (OIH) is a fund that specializes in oil services sector. With oil becoming increasingly scarce, the need for services and technology to squeeze more out of less is matched with a willingness to pay more from more expensive oil. OIH should have a correlative effect with the price of oil.
  • Appropriately named, the Market Vectors Agribusiness ETF (MOO) is a fund that specializes companies that derive at least half of their revenues from agribusiness. This includes equipment manufacturers, fertilizer companies and food companies. With the need for greater crop and food outputs on the same amount of land, MOO should have a brighter day ahead of it.
  • Last of all, those seeking the relatively stable climb of gold should look no further than holding tangible gold itself. SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) is the best way to capture this trend with a 100% physical gold bullion holding. ETFs that utilize gold miners to capture the same effect can be unfairly victimized by factors outside of the trend itself.

Disclosure: I am long TINY.

Source: http://seekingalpha.com/article/315977-investing-into-the-predictable-future-china-nanotechnology-oil-food-and-gold?source=feed

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Sunday, December 18, 2011

Finger Lakes Wine Festival tickets for sale (Rochester Democrat and Chronicle)

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PFT: Griffin's parents reportedly interviewing agents

Detroit Lions v New Orleans SaintsGetty Images

We handle the big injury stories Friday in the rumor mill.

The rest goes right here, in America?s most enticing weekly segment about the injury report.

1. Here are the players were updated during the day on the rumor mill: Kevin Smith, Andre Johnson, Colt McCoy, Justin Tuck, and?Kyle Orton.

2. The Eagles are ready to go, except for defensive end Darryl Tapp who is doubtful with a broken rib.

3. The Jets get running back Joe McKnight and defensive lineman Mike Devito back in the lineup for their game against Philly.

4. The Packers are short a number of key players once again: Linebacker Desmond?Bishop (calf), Chad Clifton (hamstring), wideout Greg Jennings (knee), and defensive tackle Ryan Pickett (concussion) are all out. Running back Brandon Saine (concussion), James Starks (ankle), and guard Josh Sitton (knee) are questionable. Starks says he?ll play.

5. The Dolphins list quarterback?Matt Moore (head/neck), tackle Jake Long (back), and tight end Anthony Fasano (ribs) as questionable. They all practiced on a limited basis and look likely to face the Bills. ?Linebacker Koa Misi (shoulder) is out.

6. Mark Ingram is out again for the Saints because of his toe injury.

7. The Bills will be without Peter King?s favorite tight end Scott Chandler, who is out with an ankle injury.

8. The Bucs will be without receiver?Arrelious Benn on Saturday night against the Cowboys.?Defensive end Michael Bennett (toe), defensive tackle Brian Price (ankle) and wideout Sammie Stroughter (knee) are all questionable. Bennett is the longest shot of the questionables.

9. Dallas has a number of questionable starters: cornerback?Michael Jenkins (shoulder), center Phil Costa (concussion), and linebacker DeMarcus Ware (neck). Costa has been cleared, but still may sit.?Ware is a safe bet to play.

10. Three Broncos secondary members are questionable: David Bruton (achilles), Brian Dawkins (neck), and cornerback Andre? Goodman (concussion). Only Bruton missed practice all week.

11. ?The Patriots listed safety Patrick Chung and tackle Sebastian Vollmer as doubtful. That way they can downgrade them to out on Saturday and then I can get a cheap post out of it while trying to cram my ?family time? in for the week.

12. Devin Hester (ankle) is questionable for the Bears. Jay Cutler (thumb), Matt Forte (knee), and Sam Hurd (5-10 kilos) are all out.

13. The Panthers list tackle Jordan Gross (ankle) as questionable for Sunday?s game. They really missed him last week, but he returned for a limited practice Friday.

14. Kyle Orton is officially probable (thumb) for the Chiefs. He?ll start on Sunday against the Packers.

15. The Bengals will likely be without running back Brian Leonard, who is doubtful with a knee injury. The Bengals get Carlos Dunlap back. Tackle Andre Smith (ankle) is questionable after not practicing Friday.

16. The Raiders will be without wideout?Jacoby Ford (foot) and running back Darren McFadden (foot) yet again. Cornerback Chris Johnson is away from the team following the death of his sister. He?s out.

The team could get Denarius Moore (foot) back. He?s questionable. Also questionable:?safety Michael Huff (hamstring) and running back Taiwan Jones (hamstring). They didn?t practice all week. Oakland is very banged up.

17. Half of the Ravens team is questionable: Linebacker Ray?Lewis (toe), cornerback Lardarius Webb (toe), kicker Billy Cundiff (calf), ?guard Ben Grubbs (toe), defensive tackle Haloti Ngata (back), defensive tackle Cory Redding (ankle) and cornerback Chris Carr (back). Lewis is expected to return to the lineup Sunday night.

18. Cardinals quarterback Kevin Kolb (head) is officially questionable. He was limited in practice during the week, but the Cardinals? beat writers think John Skelton will get the start.

19. The Titans list quarterback?Matt Hasselbeck (calf) as questionable. He?s expected to start. Look for wideout Nate Washington (ankle) to play despite being questionable. He?s been playing in pain for weeks.

Source: http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/12/16/report-robert-griffin-iiis-parents-interviewing-agents/related/

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Saturday, December 17, 2011

MacGregor Thomson: Respect For "Unique Lens" (Huffington post)

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US and North Korea hold food aid talks in Beijing (AP)

BEIJING ? U.S. officials say food aid to North Korea could resume depending on whether Pyongyang can provide the necessary monitoring assurances in talks between the sides that began Thursday in Beijing.

The United Nations and U.S. charities say aid is badly needed, but the U.S. government is concerned that North Korea, which has plowed resources into a nuclear weapons program, could divert food aid to political elites and its vast military.

U.S. special envoy for North Korean human rights issues Robert King and senior U.S. aid official Jon Brause met Thursday with North Korea's director-general for American affairs, Ri Gun.

The talks are expected to last at least two days and are to focus on strict monitoring mechanisms should the U.S. decide to give aid.

The last U.S. food handouts ended in March 2009, when North Korea expelled U.S. aid groups that were monitoring the distribution. That occurred shortly before the North conducted long-range rocket and nuclear tests that drew stiff international sanctions.

North Korea has appealed for food aid, but its state media has not commented on the talks.

State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland said Wednesday that the aid could include vitamin supplements and high-protein biscuits for malnourished people in addition to regular food.

Such items would be unlikely to end up "on some leader's banquet table," Nuland said.

"They (North Korean officials) know that we were obviously deeply dissatisfied with the way this went before and that we need more discussions about it," Nuland told a news conference.

Some aid groups also have urged that flour be provided rather than more desirable rice, which they say is routinely siphoned off and provided to the regime's most loyal backers in the cities.

The U.N. reported last month that North Korea had an improved harvest this year despite a harsh winter and summer floods, but that malnutrition among children has increased. It said nearly 3 million people will continue to require food assistance next year.

North Korea has suffered chronic food shortages for the past two decades because of a combination of economic and agricultural mismanagement and natural disasters. It suffered a famine in the 1990s that killed hundreds of thousands of people.

King visited North Korea in May accompanied by a food assessment team from the U.S. Agency for International Development. The findings of the mission were not made public.

This week's aid discussions come as expectations grow that the U.S. could hold a new round of talks with North Korea on its nuclear program. There have been two rounds since July, a possible prelude to a resumption of China-sponsored six-nation disarmament-for-aid talks that have been in limbo since 2009.

In Beijing for talks with Chinese officials, new U.S. envoy on North Korean affairs Glyn Davies said it was up to North Korea to create the conditions for new bilateral discussions.

"We need them to provide the right assurances, the right signals, at which point, and it could be at some point soon, I'm not certain, no crystal ball, we'll be able to get back to them for a third round," Davies told reporters following his meetings.

He said his talks with Chinese officials centered on how to restart the six-nation talks in a way that produces solid progress "so that we don't find ourselves in a situation similar to what we've had before where we've gone into talks and they haven't ultimately borne fruit."

North Korea says it is willing to restart the six-nation talks without preconditions, but the U.S. and its allies want the North to first take concrete action to show it is sincere, such as by freezing uranium enrichment and allowing in international monitors.

Last week, Davies said the United States is "not interested in talks for talks' sake." He didn't elaborate.

Source: http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/nkorea/*http%3A//news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20111215/ap_on_re_us/us_nkorea_food_aid

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